Placing the AD 2014–2016 protracted El Nino episode into a long term context/ (Record no. 15010)
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fixed length control field | 02487nab a2200205 4500 |
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control field | 20231022154612.0 |
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100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Allan , Robert J |
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Placing the AD 2014–2016 protracted El Nino episode into a long term context/ |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
Name of publisher, distributor, etc | Sage, |
Date of publication, distribution, etc | 2020. |
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
Pages | Vol. 30, issue 1, 2020 ( 90–105 p.). |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc | Although extended or ‘protracted’ El Niño and La Niña episodes were first suggested nearly 20 years ago, they have not received the attention of other ‘flavours’ of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or low-frequency ‘ENSO-like’ phenomena. In this study, instrumental variables and palaeoclimatic reconstructions are used to investigate the most recent ‘protracted’ El Niño episode in 2014–2016, and place it into a longer historical context. Although just reaching the threshold for such an episode, the 2014–2016 ‘protracted’ El Niño had very severe societal, agricultural, environmental and ecological impacts, particularly in western Pacific regions like eastern Australia. We show that although ‘protracted’ ENSO episodes of either phase cause similar, near-global modulations of weather and climate as during more ‘classical’ events, impacts associated with ‘protracted’ episodes last longer, with strong influences in eastern Australia. The latter is a response to the dominance of Niño 4 sea surface temperature (SST) and associated atmospheric teleconnection anomalies during ‘protracted’ ENSO episodes. Importantly, while Niño 4 SST anomalies recorded during the austral summer of 2016 were the highest values on record, an analysis of long-term palaeoclimate records indicates that there may have been episodes of greater magnitude and duration than seen in instrumental observations. This suggests that shorter instrumental observations may underestimate the risks of possible future ENSO extremes compared with those observed from multi-century palaeoclimate records. Improved knowledge of ENSO and the potential to forecast ‘protracted’ episodes would be of immense practical benefit to communities affected by the severe impacts of ENSO extremes. |
700 ## - Added Entry Personal Name | |
Added Entry Personal Name | Gergis, Joelle |
700 ## - Added Entry Personal Name | |
Added Entry Personal Name | D’Arrigo, Rosanne D |
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
Host Biblionumber | 12756 |
Host Itemnumber | 17200 |
Place, publisher, and date of publication | London: Sage Publication Ltd, 2019. |
Title | Holocene/ |
International Standard Serial Number | 09596836 |
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683619875788 |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
Koha item type | E-Journal |
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
-- | 58746 |
700 ## - Added Entry Personal Name | |
-- | 58747 |
700 ## - Added Entry Personal Name | |
-- | 58748 |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
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