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100			_aWan, Li _944683
245			_aAssessment of model validation outcomes of a new recursive spatial equilibrium model for the Greater Beijing
260			_bSage, _c2019.
300			_aVol 46, Issue 5, 2019,( 805-825 p.)
520			_aRobust calibration and validation of applied urban models are prerequisites for their successful, policy-cogent use. This is particularly important today when expert assessment is questioned and closely scrutinized. This paper proposes a new model calibration-validation strategy based on a spatial equilibrium model that incorporates multiple time horizons, such that the predictive capabilities of the model can be empirically tested. The model is implemented for the Greater Beijing city region and the model validation strategy is demonstrated over the Census years 2000 to 2010. Through forward/backward forecasting, the model validation helps to verify the stability of the model parameters as well as the predictive capabilities of the recursive equilibrium framework. The proposed modelling strategy sets a new standard for verifying and validating recursive equilibrium models. We also consider the wider implications of the approach.
650			_aModel validation, s _945803
650			_apatial equilibrium, _945804
650			_aland use transportation interaction (LUTI) models, _945805
650			_a recursive dynamics, _944679
650			_amodel calibration _945806
700			_aJin, Ying _945807
773	0		_011590 _915512 _dSage 2019. _t Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science
856			_uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/2399808317732575
942			_2ddc _cART