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100 _aBragato, Pier Luigi
_952121
245 _aObservations on the connection between glacial phases, natural catastrophes and economic trends of the last millennium in Italy/
260 _bSage,
_c2019.
300 _aVol 29, issue 8, 2019 : (1322-1334 p.).
520 _aHumanity has often faced critical phases determined by climate changes combined with other natural catastrophes that implied significant socio-economic consequences. In this article, we present an observational study on the possible systematic connection between these factors for the specific case of Italy, comparing the occurrence of pandemics, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions with the glacial history of the last millennium. We have found that the natural catastrophes concentrate in the periods of ice expansion in Europe, whereas the phenomena are in attenuation in the current phase of global warming. Such a behavior has influenced the economy of the country: in fact, a comparison with a reconstruction of the per capita Gross Domestic Product since 1310 shows that the periods of maximum economic expansion occurred during the deglaciation phases. This study has confirmed the general connection of the climate with a number of Earth processes and the difficulty to foresee its changes. Furthermore, the extension of the analysis at the world level for the last 2500 years has evidenced that different types of pandemics (plague, cholera and influenza) almost exclusively spread during the phases of glacial expansion.
650 _aearthquake,
_950162
650 _aItaly,
_951142
650 _aLittle Ice Age,
_952122
650 _apandemic,
_952123
650 _avolcanic eruption
_952124
700 _aHolzhauser, Hanspeter
_952125
773 0 _012756
_916504
_dLondon: Sage Publication Ltd, 2019.
_tHolocene/
_x09596836
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/0959683619846984
942 _2ddc
_cART
999 _c12849
_d12849